Paul's young supporters will disappear if he doesn't clarify ill-defined campaign

Unless Paul declares his intent to run as a third-party candidate, my reporting suggests he is unlikely to expand his base, even within the youth vote bloc, during the remainder of the cycle. He is also unlikely to amass enough GOP delegate support to influence the August platform at the RNC in Tampa Bay.

Interestingly, the Republicans will congregate this summer in the state that has proven, thus far, the least enthusiastic for Paul (and one that, according to several studies we've cited at SCOOP2012, has the fewest politically engaged young people).

That is, of course, the Sunshine State.

In one of the pre-Fl. primary debates, Paul offered little hope to his zealous college-aged loyalists that he would further capitalize on the momentum and increased media spotlight he has won as a result of their contributions. He promised no third-party run, should he not be the nominee. And, at this point, we can safely say that he will not be the Republicans' choice. He is unlikely to even influence the convention's agenda to include planks that support his isolationist or anti-Fed stances.

My take: His young supporters will gradually disengage, possibly even disappear, if he does not clarify his ill-defined campaign strategy. We know his views, but he has no practical path to further political consequence. Wesley: Do you agree?