Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Can Romney win Florida? He'll need to carry more young Republicans.

Certainly a great speech by the incumbent.

What's easy to forget with regard to Obama is that many of the people who decry his leadership, blame him for the country's economic woes and who vow not to support him were never going to vote for him anyway. The bulk of the vocal criticism being leveled at the president is coming from avowed Republicans — especially because many of them have been mobilized by the Republican primary.

But it's foolish to believe that Obama will bend over and take it from a weak GOP nominee. The key for a Republican victory come November is who the party ultimately nominates.

Since South Carolina, it's been all-Gingrich, all-the-time, but that could be changing soon.

The New York Times' FiveThirtyEight blog declared earlier today that Romney is again the front runner in Florida. Here's what they had to say:
The complication in Florida is that there are two conflicting trends. It should be quite obvious that Mr. Gingrich’s position is much stronger than it was before last Monday, when his support began rising sharply in state and national polls after his strong performance in a debate in Myrtle Beach, S.C.
However, it looks as though Mr. Gingrich’s surge may have reached its apogee over the weekend — timed perfectly for his big win in South Carolina, but not necessarily for one in Florida next week.
Earlier this week, I wrote that Gingrich was posed to lock down the Latino vote in Florida, although, some new polling today disputes my analysis.

According to a new ABC News/Univision News poll, 35 percent of Hispanic Republicans in Florida said they'd back Romney while only 20 percent said they support Gingrich.

Given the importance of the Hispanic vote in Florida, who is your favorite to win the Sunshine State? Alexander, how big of a factor will tomorrow night's debate play?

Among the Latino voters in the Sunshine State, 35 percent of Hispanic Republicans said they would back Romney, compared to 20 percent who said they would vote for Gingrich, an ABC News/Univision News survey found Wednesday. However, about one in five Hispanic GOPers in the state said they were still undecided.

Read more here (via Politico).

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